Historical, Predicted Fire Modeling (IMAGE) Southern Methodist University Caption Fires predicted by the Roos-Swetnam model (orange line) are presented alongside historical fires (the black line) from fire scars dated from 1700 to 2000. As shown, the model accurately predicted historical fires, and also indicates that low-intensity surface fires should have occurred throughout the last century, were it not for fire suppression. Video at http://tinyurl.com/c72tz4e. Credit Roos-Swetnam Usage Restrictions Please credit License Licensed content Disclaimer: AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert system.