Real-time predictions of the 2023–2024 climate conditions in the tropical Pacific using a purely data-driven Transformer model (IMAGE)

Science China Press

Real-time predictions of the 2023–2024 climate conditions in the tropical Pacific using a purely data-driven Transformer model

Caption

The Niño3.4 SST anomalies during 2020–2024 for reanalyses from GODAS (black dotted line) and predictions made by statistical (green dotted lines) and dynamic (blue dotted lines) models from the IRI collection and by the 3D-Geoformer (red dotted lines). Each colored line indicates the trajectory of a 9-month prediction made starting from different months; here, the data used in the statistical and dynamic models for the IRI are results taken directly from the IRI website at https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/. Note that this figure was produced in December 2023 when making real-time predictions that time; the related IRI results are available at http://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2023-December-quick-look

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