Constraining Uncertainties in Climate Change Projections with Observable Predictors (IMAGE)

Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Constraining Uncertainties in Climate Change Projections with Observable Predictors

Caption

The concept of emergent constraints aims to find relationships between intermodel variations of some aspect of the recent observable climate and the uncertainties of particular future climate predictions. The idea is that the observations would then inform the least biased models and, by inference, the more likely climate change projections. The cover image is a graphical representation of this concept that questions which projections of the future climate simulated by Earth system models are more credible.

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<i>Advances in Atmospheric Sciences</i>

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