total forecast error reduction (IMAGE)

Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

total forecast error reduction

Caption

Fig. 1. Schematic for total forecast error reduction: (1) Spatially align a forecast with the verifying analysis field; (2) Smooth original and aligned forecast and analysis to remove unpredictable scales; (3) Decompose total error into orthogonal (right angle) components of (i) large scale positional error, (ii) large scale structural error, and (iii) small scale noise.

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Isidora Jankov

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