Looking at data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS), McKay finds that the average adult owes around £4,000. Men and women are almost equally likely to have taken out credit and to have store or credit cards, but men have borrowed rather more money – close to £5,000 on average while women typically owe around £3,000.
Analysis of the BHPS indicates that there is a link between individuals' satisfaction with their household income and whether they have outstanding credit commitments. One third of people who are 'completely satisfied' with their income owe any money, compared with half of those expressing the least satisfaction. Those expressing the least satisfaction with their income are also the most likely to describe their loan repayments as a burden. The higher people's satisfaction with their income, the less likely they are to believe that their repayments are a burden.
Analysis looking more directly at envy uses data from a study by the Office for National Statistics, in which respondents were asked two specific questions: 'are you often envious of others?' and 'do you feel that others are often envious of you?' It is possible to look at the association between these views, and whether people have had difficulty paying for credit/bills, and whether they have needed to borrow for day-to-day needs from a range of more informal sources – friends, family, pawnbrokers, moneylenders.
Among a group of people aged 16-59, 13% had experienced arrears in the past year, while 16% had resorted to more informal kinds of borrowing. Among those saying they were often envious of others, 18% had experienced arrears and 23% had used informal borrowing, especially from family.
Without looking at other factors, envy might appear to be increasing the rate of arrears, appreciably so but by less than 50% compared with the population average. This might be an important factor in some borrowing, but other factors seem to play a much larger role in why different groups of people are more likely to have borrowed or experienced arrears.
McKay's research indicates that families who have experienced a fall in their income in the past 12 months have twice the level of arrears as those whose income has stayed the same or risen.
Among the most important factors in borrowing and in difficulties meeting repayments are age, income and changes in circumstances. For example, McKay's research finds that arrears are at their highest among families where the heads of household are in their 20s, more than a third of whom are currently in arrears, 22% with bills and 25% with credit commitments. Among those in their 30s, arrears drop to one in five.
The effect of income on problems meeting debt payments is also very strong. Arrears affect one third of people with annual incomes of £7,500-£14,999, dropping to just one in ten of those with annual incomes exceeding £35,000. Clearly, being on a low income is among the strongest influences on having problems repaying debts, and these are magnified by drops in income and other changes in circumstances.
Whatever the ability of most borrowers to repay their debts, there is clearly a group finding it more difficult to pay either credit or bills. 18% of households have arrears in paying bills or credit on time, and this rises to 30% of families with children and half of lone parents. People who say that repayments are a heavy burden tend to be younger than average and more likely to have children (especially lone parents). Those saying that repayments are a burden also appear to owe larger amounts.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, CONTACT:
Stephen McKay on 0117 928 9713 or Email: s.mckay@bristol.ac.uk
Romesh Vaitilingam on 07768 661095
Or Lance Cole, Lesley Lilley or Becky Gammon at ESRC on 01793 413032/413119/413122
NOTES FOR EDITORS
1. 'Debt: Envy, penury or necessity?' by Stephen McKay is chapter 6 in Seven Deadly Sins: A new look at society through an old lens. The author is at the Personal Finance Research Centre, School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol.
2. The ESRC report is published to launch Social Science Week 2005, which takes place across the UK from 20-24 June. The week is about highlighting research from the UK's social scientists and how this can contribute to better policymaking and, ultimately, a better society. It is an initiative from the Economic and Social Research Council. For a programme of events: www.esrc.ac.uk/socialscienceweek
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