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Research on the impact of war on electoral behavior in Balkan states receives ERC Grant

ERC Grant holder joined the University of Luxembourg

University of Luxembourg


IMAGE: This is Christophe Lesschaeve, Josip Glaurdi?, Michal Mochtak. view more 

Credit: University of Luxembourg

ELWar - its full name Electoral Legacies of War: Political Competition in Postwar Southeast Europe - focusses on the evolution of political competition and electoral behaviour over three decades in six postwar states: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia.

War profoundly changes people and their communities over decades. It destroys societies' social, economic, and physical fabrics and deeply alters social, gender and class structures. "After an armed conflict, the political decisions that individuals and parties take, either consciously or unconsciously, will essentially reshape their society," explains Prof Josip Glaurdic. "Yet we know very little about how these decisions are influenced. Our task is to identify the agents of postwar politics and how they encourage or impede, deliberately or not, this process."

"The ways in which members of a society experienced and in particular remember violence is essential in this process. In all Southeast European countries, political actors keep using the past for political schemes, in order to mobilize votes or create policies, which is making it difficult for people to overcome deep frustrations and move on."

A different research perspective

Political science tends to focus on elections or democratization in the period shortly after the end of a conflict. However, the exposure to violence has long-lasting effects on people's voting or political actions. Likewise, political scientists often study political actors as independent players, but they are part of a large and intricate context. "This means there is little understanding of how conflict molds an entire political system for years to come, what determines electoral results and the quality of governance in these states," Prof Glaurdic carries on. "One question for us to address for instance is whether it is voters' experiences and perceptions of the conflict that influence postwar elections, rather than their considerations of the parties' peacetime performance."

ELWar aims to fill this gap in political science research. Over the course of the project, the team will share results through a series of interactive maps, books and three international conferences in Luxembourg. A dedicated website will host the material:

A comprehensive research methodology

In order to deliver a comprehensive view of postwar political life, the research team around Prof Glaurdic will explore three postwar groups: political parties, voters and communities. Analysis of party documents and platforms, party relations with the civil sector, as well as interviews with party officials and activists will shed light on the influence of war on electoral strategies, policy preferences, and recruitment methods.

At the level of municipalities, electoral, economic, social, and demographic data, as well as data on human losses and physical destruction, will uncover how people were exposed to violence and how war continues to exert its influence on politics even decades after the violence has ended.


About the principal investigator

Prof. Glaurdi? joined the University of Luxembourg in April 2017. Before, he was a Junior Research Fellow at Clare College of the University of Cambridge and the Leverhulme Early Career Fellow at the Department of Politics and International Studies of the University of Cambridge. He earned his PhD in political science from Yale University in 2009 and is the author of the book "The Hour of Europe: Western Powers and the Breakup of Yugoslavia" (2011).

Notes to editors

Contact: Josip Glaurdi?, T. 46-66-44-6259, E.

ERC Grant: This project, hosted by the Institute of Political Science of the Faculty of Language and Literature, Humanities, Arts and Education, has received a 1.5 million euro Starting Grant from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreement No 714589).

Current other ERC grant holders at the University are physicists and material scientists Jan Lagerwall, Alexandre Tkatchenko, and Massimiliano Esposito, the engineering scientist Stéphane Bordas, and the IT scientists Lionel Briand and Björn Ottersten.

Photo copyright: © University of Luxembourg
Photo caption: Christophe Lesschaeve, Josip Glaurdi?, Michal Mochtak

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