News Release 

Climate warming disrupts tree seed production

University of Liverpool

Research involving the University of Liverpool has revealed the effect of climate warming on the complex interactions between tree masting and the insects that eat their seeds.

Masting, the process by which trees vary the amount of seeds they produce year by year, is a characteristic of many forest tree species, including oaks, beeches, pines and spruces. It is beneficial because during `famine years', seed-eating animals (such as moths) are starved so their numbers decrease, while in the `bumper years', seed production is so high that it satiates insects and seed predators, so that some seeds can survive to establish the next generation of trees.

However, a study of beech tree seed production published in the journal Nature Plants, found that increased seed production due to warmer temperatures was accompanied by a reduction in the degree of year-to-year variability in seed production, and specifically a reduction in the frequency of the 'famine years'. Thus the main beneficiaries of climate-driven increases in seed production are seed predators, and not the plants themselves.

Co-author of the paper, Dr Andrew Hacket-Pain, from the University of Liverpool's School of Environmental Sciences, said: "This study is important for understanding how beech trees are responding to changes in the climate: Climate change is leading to an increase in the seed production of beech trees - but we show that any benefit the trees might gain from this increased reproductive effort has been almost entirely offset by higher seed consumption by the moth larvae.

"The trees are producing more seeds but gaining almost no return on their increased investment. It is an excellent example of how the overall response of forests to climate change is dependent on a complex web of interactions between species - it is far from straightforward."

Dr Jonathan Lageard, from Manchester Metropolitan University, added: "In this research, we use data from four decades of long-term monitoring to investigate how climate change has affected the reproduction of one of the UK's most widespread trees, beech. We show that seed production has increased over that time period - but this does not tell the whole story."

Lead author of the paper, Dr Micha? Bogdziewicz from Adam Mickiewicz University, Poland, said: "This study focused on the main seed predator of beech,a specialist moth (Cydia fagiglandana), whose larvae feed on the developing beech seeds. Frequent 'famine years' enable the beech trees to suppress populations of this seed-eating insect.

"However, the disappearance of the characteristic 'boom and bust' seed production patterns in UK beech trees has led to an increase in moth populations. As a result, we have seen a dramatic increase in the percentage of the seeds that are eaten by the larvae - up from around 1% in the 1980s to 40% in recent years."

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The study involved the University of Liverpool, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poland, University of Canterbury Christchurch, New Zealand, Keele University and Manchester Metropolitan University.

`Climate warming disrupts mast seeding and its fitness benefits in European beech' (doi:10.1038/s41477-020-0592-8) was published in the journal Nature Plants, and was supported by NERC grant NE/S007857/1.

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