Cristiana Stan, Associate Professor, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences, received $195,313 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) for a project aimed at developing a coupled ensemble weather prediction system.
The system consists of: the Global Forecast System (GFS), Modular Ocean Model 6 (MOM6), Los Alamos Ice Model 6 (CICE6), Community Mediator for Earth Prediction Systems (CMEPS), and WAVEWATCH III (WWIII) for medium-range weather and subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts for operational implementation at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) in 2024.
The project focuses on: a) improved coupling between components, performing testing and evaluation of prototypes; and b) developing and refining stochastic parameterizations in the land, atmosphere, and ocean to improve coupled data assimilation and ensemble prediction.
Via this project, Stan will contribute to the improvement of coupling between components. She will also perform testing and evaluation of prototypes. Stan will focus particularly on investigating model forecast biases and providing feedback to developers.
Funding for this project began in August 2020 and will end in late July 2021.