New research finds that ancient carbon in rocks releases as much carbon dioxide as the world's volcanoes

Main points:

• New research has overturned the traditional view that natural rock weathering acts as a CO₂ sink that removes CO₂ from the atmosphere. Instead, this can also act as a large CO₂ source, rivalling that of volcanoes.
• The results have important implications for modelling climate change scenarios but at the moment, CO₂ release from rock weathering is not captured in climate modelling.
• Future work will focus on whether human activities may be increasing CO₂ release from rock weathering, and how this could be managed.

A new study led by the University of Oxford has overturned the view that natural rock weathering acts as a CO₂ sink, indicating instead that this can also act as a large CO₂ source, rivalling that of volcanoes. The results, published today in the journal Nature, have important implications for modelling climate change scenarios.

Rocks contain an enormous store of carbon in the ancient remains of plants and animals that lived millions of years ago. This means that the “geological carbon cycle” acts as a thermostat that helps to regulate the Earth’s temperature. For instance, during chemical weathering rocks can suck up CO₂ when certain minerals are attacked by the weak acid found in rainwater. This process helps to counteract the continuous CO₂ released by volcanoes around the world, and forms part of Earth’s natural carbon cycle that has helped keep the surface habitable to life for a billion years or more.

However, for the first time this new study measured an additional natural process of CO₂ release from rocks to the atmosphere, finding that it is as significant as the CO₂ released from volcanoes around the world. Currently, this process is not included in most models of the natural carbon cycle.

The process occurs when rocks that formed on ancient seafloors (where plants and animals were buried in sediments) are pushed back up to Earth’s surface, for example when mountains like the Himalayas or Andes form. This exposes the organic carbon in the rocks to oxygen in the air and water, which can react and release CO₂. This means that weathering rocks could be a source of CO₂, rather than the commonly assumed sink.

Up to now, measuring the release of this CO₂ from weathering organic carbon in rocks has proved difficult. In the new study, the researchers used a tracer element (rhenium) which is released into water when rock organic carbon reacts with oxygen. Sampling river water to measure rhenium levels makes it possible to quantify CO₂ release. However, sampling all river water in the world to get a global estimate would be a significant challenge.

To upscale over Earth’s surface, the researchers did two things. First, they worked out how much organic carbon is present in rocks near the surface. Second, they worked out where these were being exposed most rapidly, by erosion in steep, mountain locations.

Dr Jesse Zondervan, the researcher who led the study at the Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, said: “The challenge was then how to combine these global maps with the river data, while considering uncertainties. We fed all of our data into a supercomputer at Oxford, simulating the complex interplay of physical, chemical, and hydrological processes. By piecing together this vast planetary jigsaw, we could finally estimate the total carbon dioxide emitted as these rocks weather and exhale their ancient carbon into the air."

This could then be compared to how much CO₂ could be drawn down by natural rock weathering of silicate minerals. The results identified many large areas where weathering was a CO₂ source, challenging the current view about how weathering impacts the carbon cycle. Hotspots of CO₂ release were concentrated in mountain ranges with high uplift rates that cause sedimentary rocks to be exposed, such as the eastern Himalayas, the Rocky Mountains, and the Andes. The global CO₂ release from rock organic carbon weathering was found to be 68 megatons of carbon per year.

Professor Robert Hilton (Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford), who leads the ROC-CO2 research project that funded the study, said: “This is about 100 times less than present day human CO₂ emissions by burning fossil fuels, but it is similar to how much CO₂ is released by volcanoes around the world, meaning it is a key player in Earth’s natural carbon cycle”.

These fluxes could have changed during Earth’s past. For instance, during periods of mountain building that bring up many rocks containing organic matter, the CO₂ release may have been higher, influencing global climate in the past.

Ongoing and future work is looking into how changes in erosion due to human activities, alongside the increased warming of rocks due to anthropogenic climate changes, could increase this natural carbon leak. A question the team are now asking is if this natural CO₂ release will increase over the coming century. “Currently we don’t know – our methods allow us to provide a robust global estimate, but not yet assess how it could change’’ says Hilton.

“While the carbon dioxide release from rock weathering is small compared to present-day human emissions, the improved understanding of these natural fluxes will help us better predict our carbon budget” concluded Dr. Zondervan.

Notes to editors:

Media contact – Professor Robert Hilton, robert.hilton@earth.ox.ac.uk

The study ‘Rock organic carbon oxidation CO2 release offsets silicate weathering sink’ will be published in Nature at 16:00 BST/ 11:00 ET on Wednesday 04 October 2023 at https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06581-9

To view a copy of the paper before this under embargo, contact Dr Caroline Wood: caroline.wood@admin.ox.ac.uk

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