Temperature changes (IMAGE) National Institute for Environmental Studies Caption Time series of the northwestern Pacific sea surface temperature in August. Showings are the observational datasets and the simulation results from the climate model (CMIP6) ensemble: the global warming signal (solid black line) and the ranges of 'once-in-20-year' events (95% probability range) in the historical and future experiments (gray shading) and pre-industrial experiments (dashed lines). Credit NIES Usage Restrictions Credit required. License Licensed content Disclaimer: AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert system.