Frequency and Spatial Pattern of Surprising Ocean Temperatures (IMAGE)

Gulf of Maine Research Institute

Frequency and Spatial Pattern of Surprising Ocean Temperatures

Caption

a. The difference between the observed and expected number of surprises in 20 year windows plotted by regions (see Figure S1). b. The observed minus expected surprises between 1997-2016 for the LMEs and the open ocean. c. Observed and expected surprises modeled as a function of the change in trend and in variance (R2=0.40, p<0.01). d. The mean temperature trend and variability of the LMEs in 2016 (black star with 75% ellipse) and projected for 2030, 2060, and 2090 (blue, purple, and red squares, respectively). Individual LMEs in 2016 are shown (circles).

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Gulf of Maine Research Institute

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