Modelling reveals Sydney’s 1789 smallpox outbreak killed as many as 220,000 Indigenous Australians
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 22-Oct-2026 19:17 ET (22-Oct-2026 23:17 GMT/UTC)
Groundbreaking modelling has revealed that as many as 220,000 Indigenous Australians died in a devastating 1789 smallpox outbreak that originated in Sydney, by tracing its origins to the First Fleet. Soon after British ships arrived, smallpox swept through First Nations communities in the Sydney area and many died as a result.
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