New "super-simulations" reveal climate models have been mistaking natural weather noise for human-caused monsoon changes. These models predict the signal emerges ~10 years too early. Before 2050, nature's own variability—not model flaws—drives uncertainty. This matters for policy timing.

The BBVA Foundation Frontiers of Knowledge Awards in Economics, Finance and Management has gone in this eighteenth edition to Charles F. Manski for his pioneering contributions to the measurement of uncertainty in economic research and its application to public policy analysis. The professor at Northwestern University (Chicago, United States) is described by the committee as a “foundational figure” in the development of modern methods that have transformed how economists infer conclusions from data, report degrees of uncertainty in their models, and evaluate public policies in the face of incomplete evidence.

A European consortium, led by the Institute of New Imaging Technologies (INIT) at the Universitat Jaume I in Castelló and comprising the University of Limassol (Cyprus), Save the Children Finland, All Digital (Belgium) and 8d-Games (the Netherlands), aims to promote the protection and exercise of children’s rights in online gaming environments by creating participatory mechanisms that foster digital literacy, strengthen mental wellbeing and embed practices grounded in children’s fundamental rights.

“The main purpose of FAIR GAME”, explains the research team, which met for two days at the public university in Castelló, “is to make children’s rights visible, actionable and enforceable in one of the least regulated digital environments”, because its goal “is not only to mitigate risk, but to reorient the way the gaming ecosystem defines safety and responsibility”. For this reason, they add, it “seeks to bring about cultural and structural change in order to influence gaming platform policies and standards”.