Extracting predictable signals from observational precipitation data: A new approach to seasonal precipitation prediction
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 20-Oct-2026 10:16 ET (20-Oct-2026 14:16 GMT/UTC)
In a paper published in SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, researchers at Sun Yat-sen University developed an SFA-based Climate Prediction (SCP) method, which directly extracted slow-varying predictable signals from observed precipitation data and applied it to seasonal prediction of summer precipitation over South China. Independent forecasts for 2011–2022 show that the SCP method achieves a regional mean temporal correlation coefficient of 0.36 and accurately predicted the sign of regional-mean precipitation anomalies in 10 of 12 summers, outperforming two dynamical models and a hybrid dynamical–statistical prediction system. The study provides a new perspective to identifying potentially predictable signals and improving regional seasonal precipitation prediction.
A new study in Nature Health suggests that delays are no longer necessary, offering the opportunity to assess whose health is most at risk, take protective measures, and test whether interventions are working while the heat season is still underway.
Heart failure hospitalization risk increases after short-term exposure to cold spells, lower ambient temperatures and higher ambient temperatures, according to a study published in JACC, the flagship journal of the American College of Cardiology, and simultaneously presented at ESC Congress 2026. The increase in hospitalizations, seen in Sweden, shows how temperature extremes can contribute to sudden worsening of illness and the need for health systems to respond to and prepare for environmental stressors.
Biodiesel is a promising bridge technology for enhancing sustainability of the transport industry while renewable energy infrastructure scales up. However, the sustainability of biodiesel varies dramatically with feedstock choice. In a new study, researchers conduct a comprehensive life-cycle assessment of biodiesel production from different feedstocks, revealing significant variability in greenhouse gas emissions, air pollution characteristics, and emission mitigation potential between plant-based and waste-derived feedstocks.
As the global push for cleaner energy intensifies, solid oxide fuel cells have emerged as a promising option. They turn hydrogen or other renewable fuels directly into electricity and heat without combustion, eliminating virtually all pollution and boosting efficiency to over 60%. But a major downside has kept them out of everyday commercial use: they require extremely high temperatures to operate.
A team of researchers at UT San Antonio and partnering institutions have found a way around that barrier. Instead of relying on perfectly ordered materials, they applied a thermal shock technique to create tiny clusters of disordered atoms that move oxygen ions much more easily at lower temperatures. The result could help make fuel cells cheaper, more durable and easier to use outside the lab.
In a paper published in SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, researchers assessed the parameterization of orographic gravity wave drag (OGWD) in 3-km-resolution WRF simulations for precipitation forecast over the highly complex-terrain Southwest China. Their results reveal that OGWD parameterization, previously considered negligible in kilometer-scale models, can greatly improve the predicted rainfall intensity and location by modulating the low-level winds and moisture transport. These findings lay an important scientific foundation for operational precipitation forecasting in regions of complex terrain.
When temperatures spike, emergency physicians expect to see more cases of dehydration and heat stroke. But a new Northwestern University study suggests that extreme heat also is linked to a much wider range of health problems seen in emergency departments and urgent care clinics, including skin conditions, multiple sclerosis and even injuries from traffic accidents.
The findings could help emergency departments and health care systems better prepare for heat waves, which are becoming more prevalent with climate change.