New semi-empirical model boosts accuracy in forecasting Earth's magnetic storms
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 6-Aug-2025 06:11 ET (6-Aug-2025 10:11 GMT/UTC)
In a paper published in Earth and Planetary Physics, researchers propose a semi-empirical model combining Burton's empirical Dst formula with global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations to predict geomagnetic storm intensity. The hybrid approach demonstrates higher accuracy than pure empirical models when tested against moderate-to-intense storm events, while maintaining computational efficiency for operational space weather forecasting. This advancement enables more reliable Dst index estimation within global magnetosphere simulations.
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