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Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 9-Sep-2025 22:11 ET (10-Sep-2025 02:11 GMT/UTC)
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Purpose
The authors target the interrelationships between non-fungible tokens (NFTs), decentralized finance (DeFi) and carbon allowances (CA) markets during 2021–2023. The recent shift of crypto and DeFi miners from China (the People's Republic of China, PRC) green hydro energy to dirty fuel energies elsewhere induces investments in carbon offsetting instruments; this is a backdrop to the authors’ investigation.
Design/methodology/approach
The quantile vector autoregression (VAR) approach is employed to examine extreme-quantile-connectedness and spillovers among the NFT Index (NFTI), DeFi Pulse Index (DPI), KraneShares Global Carbon Strategy ETF price (KRBN) and the Solactive Carbon Emission Allowances Rolling Futures Total Return Index (SOLCARBT).
Findings
At bull markets, DPI is the only consistent net shock transmitter as NFTI transmits innovations only at the most extreme quantile. At bear markets, KRBN and SOLCARBT are net shock transmitters, while NFTI is the only consistent net shock receiver. The receiver-transmitter roles change as a function of the market conditions. The increases in the relative tail dependence correspond to the stress events, which make systemic connectedness augment, turning market-specific idiosyncratic considerations less relevant.
Originality/value
The shift of digital asset miners from the PRC has resulted in excessive fuel energy consumption and aggravated environmental consequences regarding NFTs and DeFi mining. Although there exist numerous studies dedicated to CA trading and its role in carbon print reduction, the direct nexus between NFT, DeFi and CA has never been addressed in the literature. The originality of the authors’ research consists in bridging this void. Results are valuable for portfolio managers in bull and bear markets, as the authors show that connectedness is more intense under such conditions.
The 2025 MRS International Risk Conference will take place in Boston, Massachusetts from July 24 to 26, 2025. Hosted by the Sawyer Business School of Suffolk University, the conference welcomes submissions from scholars worldwide on all aspects of risks and capital markets. The event will also feature an AI and Climate Risk Forum at MIT in the afternoon on July 26th. The China Finance Review International (CFRI), Sawyer Business School of Suffolk University, and Modern Risk Society (MRS) co-organize this conference. Our sponsors include the MIT Environmental Solutions Initiative (ESI), the Global Association for Risk Professionals (GARP), and the Rosenberg Institute for East Asian Studies. This conference was known as the “CFRI & CIRF Conference”. The conference submission deadline is February 10th, 2025, Eastern Time.