In a world facing rising economic uncertainty and instability, look to cross-border investment activity for solid clues about what's next for economic growth and foreign exchange rates.

 

That's a key finding by Steven Riddiough, an associate professor of finance at the University of Toronto Scarborough and Rotman School of Management, and Huizhong Zhang from Australia's Monash University. They assessed nearly a quarter century of data on cross-border deals involving more than 40 countries and identified a predictive relationship between changes in a country's foreign investment activity and future changes in its economic growth and currency values.

In a world facing rising economic uncertainty and instability, look to cross-border investment activity for solid clues about what's next for economic growth and foreign exchange rates.

 

That's a key finding by Steven Riddiough, an associate professor of finance at the University of Toronto Scarborough and Rotman School of Management, and Huizhong Zhang from Australia's Monash University. They assessed nearly a quarter century of data on cross-border deals involving more than 40 countries and identified a predictive relationship between changes in a country's foreign investment activity and future changes in its economic growth and currency values.

For the first time, a study from researchers at Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego integrates climate-related damages to the ocean into the social cost of carbon— a measure of economic harm caused by greenhouse gas emissions. 

A new study suggests that, with low to moderate levels of global greenhouse emissions in coming decades, more of India could become suitable for growing avocados. However, with high enough emissions, growing zones could shrink and destabilize by 2070. G. Karunakaran of the Indian Council of Agricultural Research’s Indian Institute of Horticultural Research and colleagues present these findings in the open-access journal PLOS One on January 14, 2026.